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Mallorca vs Almeria: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Mallorca 5.2, Almeria 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Mallorca 2.3, Almeria 2.2; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Mallorca win 45%, draw 28%, Almeria win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Mallorca: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · at home
- 8 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · at home
Almeria: last five matches — D-D-L-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Mallorca — 3, Almeria — 4 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Mallorca at home and Almeria away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Mallorca | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 48 |
| Win rate | 100% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 7.3 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 60% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Mallorca won 8, 5 draws, Almeria won 5. Per match: 2.2 goals, 11.4 corners, 5.1 yellow cards.
- 19.05.2024: Mallorca 2:2 Almeria
- 17.12.2023: Almeria 0:0 Mallorca
- 20.05.2023: Almeria 3:0 Mallorca
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Mallorca vs Almeria?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Mallorca vs Almeria?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.
Who is more likely to win Mallorca vs Almeria?
Market line without margin: Mallorca 45%, draw 28%, Almeria 27%.