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Mallorca vs Las Palmas: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Mallorca 4.9, Las Palmas 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 45% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 55%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Mallorca 2.1, Las Palmas 2.0; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 60%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Mallorca win 55%, draw 25%, Las Palmas win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Mallorca: last five matches — D-W-W-W-L.
- 8 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Las Palmas: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Mallorca — 5, Las Palmas — 11 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Mallorca at home and Las Palmas away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Mallorca | Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 26 |
| Win rate | 75% | 38% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 62% |
| Total corners per match | 7.5 | 8.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 25% | 31% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 39% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Mallorca won 5, 3 draws, Las Palmas won 4. Per match: 2.8 goals, 8.3 corners, 5.3 yellow cards.
- 16.02.2025: Mallorca 3:1 Las Palmas
- 23.11.2024: Las Palmas 2:3 Mallorca
- 11.05.2024: Mallorca 1:0 Las Palmas
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 45%.
How many yellow cards in Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.
Who is more likely to win Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Market line without margin: Mallorca 55%, draw 25%, Las Palmas 19%.