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Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · 1. Lig · 19 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Manisa F.K. · Muğlaspor
Result
Our model: Manisa F.K. win 41%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
Manisa F.K.: last five matches — W-W-D-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
Muğlaspor: last five matches — L-D-W-D-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Manisa F.K. — 14, Muğlaspor — 11 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Manisa F.K. at home and Muğlaspor away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Manisa F.K. | Muğlaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 5 |
| Win rate | 43% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 52% | 60% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Manisa F.K. won 0, 0 draws, Muğlaspor won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 29.10.2025: Manisa F.K. 0:2 Muğlaspor
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor?
Our model: Manisa F.K. 41%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 31%.