Xpect
Melaka vs Imigresen: prediction and statistics
Malaysia · Super League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Melaka · Imigresen
Before kick-off
Melaka host Imigresen in Super League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Melaka are 6th and Imigresen 9th out of 12 teams.
Melaka have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Imigresen are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Melaka (2024–2026) is balanced: 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats in 15 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away from home Imigresen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats in 17 matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.4 per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (16 May 2026) it ended Imigresen 1:1 Melaka.
Form
Melaka: last five matches — L-W-L-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Imigresen: last five matches — D-D-W-W-L.
Table: Melaka — 6, Imigresen — 9 (of 12).
Home and away record
Melaka at home and Imigresen away, 2024–2026.
| Melaka | Imigresen | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 17 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 6-2-7 | 7-2-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.4 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Melaka won 0, 1 draws, Imigresen won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 16.05.2026: Imigresen 1:1 Melaka
- 24.12.2025: Melaka 0:2 Imigresen
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 60% of Melaka home games and 77% of Imigresen away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Melaka 1.8, Imigresen 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Melaka win 30%, draw 23%, Imigresen win 48%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 64%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Melaka | Imigresen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 77% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 18% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.