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Middlesbrough vs Wolves: prediction and statistics
England · Championship · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.5 corners in the match: Middlesbrough 6.4, Wolves 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1.6, Wolves 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 51%, typical match 48%.
Result
Market line without margin: Middlesbrough win 42%, draw 26%, Wolves win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Middlesbrough: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Wolves: last five matches — W-L-D-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Middlesbrough — 3, Wolves — 5 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Middlesbrough at home and Wolves away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Middlesbrough | Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 4 |
| Win rate | 51% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 75% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | 11.2 | 10.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 28% | 25% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Middlesbrough won 6, 0 draws, Wolves won 5. Per match: 2.7 goals, 10.2 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 30.03.2018: Middlesbrough 1:2 Wolves
- 05.08.2017: Wolves 1:0 Middlesbrough
- 04.03.2016: Middlesbrough 2:1 Wolves
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
Our model expects 10.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 30%.
Who is more likely to win Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
Market line without margin: Middlesbrough 42%, draw 26%, Wolves 32%.