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Mladost Ždralovi vs NK Slaven Belupo: prediction and statistics
Croatia · Croatian Cup · 3 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: NK Slaven Belupo
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 32% – 24% – 44%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 67% of Mladost Ždralovi’s home matches and 57% of NK Slaven Belupo’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:0.
Result
Our model: Mladost Ždralovi win 32%, draw 24%, NK Slaven Belupo win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Form
Mladost Ždralovi: last five matches — W-W-L-W-W.
NK Slaven Belupo: last five matches — W-L-D-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Mladost Ždralovi at home and NK Slaven Belupo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Mladost Ždralovi | NK Slaven Belupo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Win rate | 50% | 71% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 14% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 43% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Mladost Ždralovi won 1, 0 draws, NK Slaven Belupo won 0. Per match: 4.0 goals.
- 24.06.2023: Mladost Ždralovi 3:1 NK Slaven Belupo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Mladost Ždralovi vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our model: Mladost Ždralovi 32%, draw 24%, NK Slaven Belupo 44%.