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Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane: prediction and statistics
Morocco · Botola Pro · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.4 corners in the match: Moghreb Tetouan 4.2, Renaissance Berkane 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 8.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 34% (typical match — 39%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 53%, typical match 48%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Moghreb Tetouan 2.4, Renaissance Berkane 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 64%.
Result
Market line without margin: Moghreb Tetouan win 11%, draw 22%, Renaissance Berkane win 67%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Moghreb Tetouan: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Renaissance Berkane: last five matches — W-L-W-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Moghreb Tetouan at home and Renaissance Berkane away, 2023/24–2025/26.
| Moghreb Tetouan | Renaissance Berkane | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 45 |
| Win rate | 20% | 53% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | 8.4 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 18% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 42% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Moghreb Tetouan won 4, 5 draws, Renaissance Berkane won 7. Per match: 2.2 goals, 6.5 corners, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 09.03.2025: Moghreb Tetouan 0:2 Renaissance Berkane
- 02.11.2024: Renaissance Berkane 2:1 Moghreb Tetouan
- 07.05.2024: Renaissance Berkane 3:2 Moghreb Tetouan
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane?
Our model expects 8.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 34%.
How many yellow cards in Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane?
Market line without margin: Moghreb Tetouan 11%, draw 22%, Renaissance Berkane 67%.