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Molde vs Bodo/Glimt: prediction and statistics
Norway · Eliteserien · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Molde · Bodo/Glimt
Before kick-off
Molde host Bodo/Glimt in Eliteserien on 20 November 2026. In the standings Molde are 5th and Bodo/Glimt 2nd out of 16 teams. Bodo/Glimt are part of the leading group.
Molde arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Bodo/Glimt are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games.
The home record of Molde (2024–2026) is balanced: 25 wins, 5 draws and 13 defeats in 43 matches, 2.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. On the road Bodo/Glimt are a dangerous side — 27 wins, 9 draws and 7 defeats in 43 away matches, 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.7 per game in home matches of Molde and 3.1 in away matches of Bodo/Glimt.
The 26 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Molde 11, Bodo/Glimt 10, draws 5. Last time out (28 June 2026) it ended Molde 1:4 Bodo/Glimt. On average these meetings produce 3.8 goals.
Form
Molde: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 10 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · at home
Bodo/Glimt: last five matches — L-W-W-L-W.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Molde — 5, Bodo/Glimt — 2 (of 16).
Home and away record
Molde at home and Bodo/Glimt away, 2024–2026.
| Molde | Bodo/Glimt | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 43 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 25-5-13 | 27-9-7 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Head to head
26 meetings in our database: Molde won 11, 5 draws, Bodo/Glimt won 10. Per match: 3.8 goals.
- 28.06.2026: Molde 1:4 Bodo/Glimt
- 04.05.2026: Bodo/Glimt 0:1 Molde
- 05.03.2026: Molde 1:2 Bodo/Glimt
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Bodo/Glimt should win the corner count: 5.9 expected against 4.2 for Molde.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 72% of Molde home games and 61% of Bodo/Glimt away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Molde 4.2, Bodo/Glimt 5.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 60%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards: Molde 1.9, Bodo/Glimt 1.3; typical match of the competition — 3.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 22% (typical match — 23%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 61%, typical match 59%.
Result
Our model: Molde win 47%, draw 20%, Bodo/Glimt win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 77%, both teams to score — 75%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Molde | Bodo/Glimt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 23% | 7% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.