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Montego Bay United vs Molynes United: prediction and statistics
Jamaica · Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Montego Bay United · Molynes United
Key facts
- Our model makes Montego Bay United the favourite at 68%; a draw is 19%.
- Montego Bay United has won 8 of the last 12 meetings with Molynes United.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of Montego Bay United home games and 50% of Molynes United away games.
Result
Final score 2:2.
Result
Our model: Montego Bay United win 68%, draw 19%, Molynes United win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Montego Bay United: last five matches — W-D-W-D-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Molynes United: last five matches — W-W-L-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Montego Bay United — 4, Molynes United — 12 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Montego Bay United at home and Molynes United away, 2024–2026.
| Montego Bay United | Molynes United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 42 |
| Win rate | 57% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 15% | 20% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Montego Bay United won 8, 2 draws, Molynes United won 2. Per match: 3.1 goals, 1.0 yellow cards.
- 25.03.2026: Molynes United 1:1 Montego Bay United
- 01.02.2026: Montego Bay United 3:0 Molynes United
- 12.10.2025: Molynes United 0:2 Montego Bay United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Montego Bay United vs Molynes United?
Our model: Montego Bay United 68%, draw 19%, Molynes United 13%.