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Montpellier vs Grenoble: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 9 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Montpellier 5.7, Grenoble 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Montpellier 1.8, Grenoble 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Montpellier win 56%, draw 27%, Grenoble win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Montpellier: last five matches — L-W-D-D-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Grenoble: last five matches — D-L-L-W-W.
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Montpellier — 4, Grenoble — 13 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Montpellier at home and Grenoble away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Montpellier | Grenoble | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 38 |
| Win rate | 45% | 26% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 55% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 42% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Montpellier won 1, 1 draws, Grenoble won 0. Per match: 2.5 goals, 8.5 corners, 1.5 yellow cards.
- 17.04.2026: Montpellier 2:1 Grenoble
- 13.12.2025: Grenoble 1:1 Montpellier
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 38%.
Who is more likely to win Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Market line without margin: Montpellier 56%, draw 27%, Grenoble 18%.