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Mount Pleasant Academy vs Tivoli Gardens: prediction and statistics
Jamaica · Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Mount Pleasant Academy · Tivoli Gardens
Key facts
- Mount Pleasant Academy is the more likely winner in our model: 68%, draw 20%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Mount Pleasant Academy’s home matches and 51% of Tivoli Gardens’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Mount Pleasant Academy: 13 wins in 20 meetings with Tivoli Gardens.
Result
Final score 2:1.
Result
Our model: Mount Pleasant Academy win 68%, draw 20%, Tivoli Gardens win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Mount Pleasant Academy: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Tivoli Gardens: last five matches — L-L-D-W-L.
Table: Mount Pleasant Academy — 6, Tivoli Gardens — 5 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Mount Pleasant Academy at home and Tivoli Gardens away, 2024–2026.
| Mount Pleasant Academy | Tivoli Gardens | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 45 |
| Win rate | 69% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 16% | 19% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Mount Pleasant Academy won 13, 5 draws, Tivoli Gardens won 2. Per match: 2.1 goals, 1.2 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2026: Mount Pleasant Academy 0:1 Tivoli Gardens
- 04.03.2026: Tivoli Gardens 1:1 Mount Pleasant Academy
- 11.12.2025: Mount Pleasant Academy 5:0 Tivoli Gardens
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Mount Pleasant Academy vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our model: Mount Pleasant Academy 68%, draw 20%, Tivoli Gardens 12%.