Xpect
Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa: prediction and statistics
El Salvador · Primera División · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Municipal Limeño · Atletico Balboa
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 45% of Municipal Limeño home games and 56% of Atletico Balboa away games.
Result
Final score 3:4.
Result
Our model: Municipal Limeño win 46%, draw 25%, Atletico Balboa win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Municipal Limeño: last five matches — D-L-L-D-D.
- 9 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Atletico Balboa: last five matches — L-L-D-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Municipal Limeño — 7, Atletico Balboa — 9 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Municipal Limeño at home and Atletico Balboa away, 2024–2026.
| Municipal Limeño | Atletico Balboa | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 58 | 9 |
| Win rate | 41% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 78% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Municipal Limeño won 1, 0 draws, Atletico Balboa won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 06.09.2026: Atletico Balboa 0:2 Municipal Limeño
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa?
Our model: Municipal Limeño 46%, draw 25%, Atletico Balboa 29%.