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Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers: prediction and statistics
Zambia · Super League · 5 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Mutondo Stars · Mufulira Wanderers
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 29% of Mutondo Stars home games and 12% of Mufulira Wanderers away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Mutondo Stars 37%, draw 36%, Mufulira Wanderers 27%.
Result
Final score 1:1.
Result
Our model: Mutondo Stars win 37%, draw 36%, Mufulira Wanderers win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 20%, both teams to score — 28%.
Form
Mutondo Stars: last five matches — D-L-L-W-W.
Mufulira Wanderers: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 13 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 7 matches without a win · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Mutondo Stars at home and Mufulira Wanderers away, 2024–2026.
| Mutondo Stars | Mufulira Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 34 |
| Win rate | 38% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 12% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 18% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Mutondo Stars won 2, 2 draws, Mufulira Wanderers won 2. Per match: 1.2 goals.
- 29.04.2026: Mufulira Wanderers 1:0 Mutondo Stars
- 30.11.2025: Mutondo Stars 0:0 Mufulira Wanderers
- 02.02.2025: Mutondo Stars 0:1 Mufulira Wanderers
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?
Our model: Mutondo Stars 37%, draw 36%, Mufulira Wanderers 27%.