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NAPSA Stars vs Nkana: prediction and statistics
Zambia · Super League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: NAPSA Stars · Nkana
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 14% of NAPSA Stars home games and 24% of Nkana away games.
- Our model sees an open game: NAPSA Stars 35%, draw 34%, Nkana 31%.
Result
Final score 0:1.
Result
Our model: NAPSA Stars win 35%, draw 34%, Nkana win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 24%, both teams to score — 33%.
Form
NAPSA Stars: last five matches — W-D-W-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Nkana: last five matches — D-L-D-W-D.
- 12 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Team statistics for three seasons
NAPSA Stars at home and Nkana away, 2024–2026.
| NAPSA Stars | Nkana | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 34 |
| Win rate | 31% | 26% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 24% |
| Both teams score | 29% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
26 meetings in our database: NAPSA Stars won 7, 7 draws, Nkana won 12. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 30.04.2026: NAPSA Stars 1:1 Nkana
- 30.11.2025: Nkana 1:0 NAPSA Stars
- 25.01.2025: Nkana 0:1 NAPSA Stars
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
Our model: NAPSA Stars 35%, draw 34%, Nkana 31%.