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Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Nashville SC 6.0, Sporting Kansas City 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Nashville SC 1.6, Sporting Kansas City 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 56%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Nashville SC win 73%, draw 16%, Sporting Kansas City win 10%. Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
Nashville SC: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 6 wins in a row · at home
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Sporting Kansas City: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Nashville SC — 1, Sporting Kansas City — 30 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Nashville SC at home and Sporting Kansas City away, 2024–2026.
| Nashville SC | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 48 |
| Win rate | 61% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 79% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 23% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Nashville SC won 3, 0 draws, Sporting Kansas City won 2. Per match: 3.0 goals, 7.8 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 30.01.2024: Nashville SC 2:1 Sporting Kansas City
- 21.09.2023: Sporting Kansas City 0:3 Nashville SC
- 19.06.2022: Nashville SC 1:2 Sporting Kansas City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.
Who is more likely to win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Market line without margin: Nashville SC 73%, draw 16%, Sporting Kansas City 10%.