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Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Nashville SC 5.9, Toronto FC 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Nashville SC 1.8, Toronto FC 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 52%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Nashville SC win 65%, draw 20%, Toronto FC win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Nashville SC: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Toronto FC: last five matches — L-D-W-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Nashville SC — 1, Toronto FC — 26 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Nashville SC at home and Toronto FC away, 2024–2026.
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 46 |
| Win rate | 60% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 35% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 44% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Nashville SC won 6, 3 draws, Toronto FC won 3. Per match: 2.7 goals, 8.4 corners, 3.1 yellow cards.
- 09.09.2026: Toronto FC 2:1 Nashville SC
- 20.07.2025: Nashville SC 1:0 Toronto FC
- 24.05.2025: Toronto FC 1:2 Nashville SC
Referee
Ramy Touchan: 113 matches in our database, 4.8 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.2); over 4.5 cards in 57% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 29%.
Who is more likely to win Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Market line without margin: Nashville SC 65%, draw 20%, Toronto FC 15%.