Xpect
Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 8 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Nautico Recife 6.0, Novorizontino 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Nautico Recife 2.5, Novorizontino 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 72%.
Form
Nautico Recife: last five matches — W-W-W-D-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Novorizontino: last five matches — W-D-W-W-L.
- 17 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Nautico Recife — 14, Novorizontino — 4 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Nautico Recife at home and Novorizontino away, 2024–2026.
| Nautico Recife | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 53 |
| Win rate | 53% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 34% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 73% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 60% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Nautico Recife won 1, 1 draws, Novorizontino won 1. Per match: 4.7 goals, 7.7 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 14.06.2026: Novorizontino 2:2 Nautico Recife
- 15.10.2022: Novorizontino 6:0 Nautico Recife
- 02.07.2022: Nautico Recife 3:1 Novorizontino
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
Our model expects 10.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.