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Necaxa vs Club America: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 28 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Necaxa 5.3, Club America 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Necaxa 2.2, Club America 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 59%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Necaxa win 22%, draw 27%, Club America win 52%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Necaxa: last five matches — W-W-L-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Club America: last five matches — W-D-W-L-L.
- 8 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Necaxa — 15, Club America — 3 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Necaxa at home and Club America away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Necaxa | Club America | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 47 |
| Win rate | 40% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 47% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 37% |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Necaxa won 5, 8 draws, Club America won 9. Per match: 2.5 goals, 9.6 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 31.01.2026: Club America 2:0 Necaxa
- 27.07.2025: Necaxa 1:1 Club America
- 15.02.2025: Club America 2:3 Necaxa
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Necaxa vs Club America?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Necaxa vs Club America?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 41%.
Who is more likely to win Necaxa vs Club America?
Market line without margin: Necaxa 22%, draw 27%, Club America 52%.