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Nico United vs Morupule Wanderers: prediction and statistics
Botswana · Premier League · 5 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Nico United · Morupule Wanderers
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 33% – 31% – 36%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 33% of Nico United’s home matches and 39% of Morupule Wanderers’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 0:3.
Result
Our model: Nico United win 33%, draw 31%, Morupule Wanderers win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Nico United: last five matches — D-D-L-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Morupule Wanderers: last five matches — W-L-L-L-D.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Nico United — 13, Morupule Wanderers — 14 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Nico United at home and Morupule Wanderers away, 2024–2026.
| Nico United | Morupule Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 33 | 33 |
| Win rate | 27% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Nico United won 2, 3 draws, Morupule Wanderers won 3. Per match: 1.8 goals.
- 25.04.2026: Morupule Wanderers 0:0 Nico United
- 22.11.2025: Nico United 1:0 Morupule Wanderers
- 01.03.2025: Morupule Wanderers 1:0 Nico United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Nico United vs Morupule Wanderers?
Our model: Nico United 33%, draw 31%, Morupule Wanderers 36%.