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NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction and statistics

Europe · Europa League · 15 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

54%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: NK Celje 5.5, Omonia Nicosia 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 48%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 52%.

Yellow cards

53%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: NK Celje 2.2, Omonia Nicosia 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 46%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 66%, typical match 65%.

Result

Market line without margin: NK Celje win 39%, draw 27%, Omonia Nicosia win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.

Form

NK Celje: last five matches — D-W-W-L-L.

Omonia Nicosia: last five matches — D-L-D-L-W.

Team statistics for three seasons

NK Celje at home and Omonia Nicosia away, 2024/25–2026/27.

NK CeljeOmonia Nicosia
Matches32
Win rate33%0%
Goals scored per match1.70.5
Goals conceded per match1.31.0
Over 2.5 goals33%0%
Both teams score67%50%
Total corners per match—8.0
Over 9.5 corners—0%
Total yellow cards per match6.35.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards100%50%

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.

How many yellow cards in NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.

Who is more likely to win NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?

Market line without margin: NK Celje 39%, draw 27%, Omonia Nicosia 34%.

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