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Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos: prediction and statistics
Zambia · Super League · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Nkana · Kansanshi Dynamos
Key facts
- 4 of the 8 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 27% of Nkana home games and 29% of Kansanshi Dynamos away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Nkana 41%, draw 35%, Kansanshi Dynamos 24%.
Result
Final score 1:0.
Result
Our model: Nkana win 41%, draw 35%, Kansanshi Dynamos win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 22%, both teams to score — 30%.
Form
Nkana: last five matches — D-L-W-L-L.
Kansanshi Dynamos: last five matches — L-D-W-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Nkana at home and Kansanshi Dynamos away, 2024–2026.
| Nkana | Kansanshi Dynamos | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 33 | 17 |
| Win rate | 48% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 29% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Nkana won 3, 4 draws, Kansanshi Dynamos won 1. Per match: 0.6 goals.
- 23.05.2026: Kansanshi Dynamos 0:0 Nkana
- 31.01.2026: Nkana 1:0 Kansanshi Dynamos
- 19.05.2024: Nkana 1:0 Kansanshi Dynamos
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos?
Our model: Nkana 41%, draw 35%, Kansanshi Dynamos 24%.