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North Macedonia vs Switzerland: prediction and statistics
Europe · Nations League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.9 corners in the match: North Macedonia 4.4, Switzerland 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 40% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 60%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: North Macedonia 2.0, Switzerland 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: North Macedonia win 13%, draw 20%, Switzerland win 67%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 44%.
Form
North Macedonia: last five matches — D-D-W-D-D.
- 12 matches unbeaten · at home
- 8 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Switzerland: last five matches — W-W-D-D-D.
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Team statistics for three seasons
North Macedonia at home and Switzerland away, 2024–2026.
| North Macedonia | Switzerland | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 12 |
| Win rate | 44% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 11% | 25% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 7.9 | 8.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 22% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 55% |
Referee
Daniel Schlager: 222 matches in our database, 4.5 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.7); over 4.5 cards in 48% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
Our model expects 8.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 40%.
How many yellow cards in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 34%.
Who is more likely to win North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
Market line without margin: North Macedonia 13%, draw 20%, Switzerland 67%.