NPA Anchors vs Downtown: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 8 November 2026 · kick-off 16:00 UTC

Team stats: NPA Anchors · Downtown

Key facts

Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 62% of NPA Anchors home games and 71% of Downtown away games.
Our model makes Downtown the favourite at 72%; a draw is 17%.

Result

Final score 2:1.

Result

Our model: NPA Anchors win 11%, draw 17%, Downtown win 72%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 51%.

Form

NPA Anchors: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.

10 losses in a row · all competitions
10 matches without a win · all competitions

Downtown: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.

4 matches without a win · away
4 matches in a row both teams scored · away

Team statistics for three seasons

NPA Anchors at home and Downtown away, 2023–2025.

	NPA Anchors	Downtown
Matches	13	14
Win rate	8%	21%
Goals scored per match	1.1	1.4
Goals conceded per match	2.9	1.9
Over 2.5 goals	62%	71%
Both teams score	62%	79%
Total corners per match	—	—
Over 9.5 corners	—	—
Total yellow cards per match	—	—
Over 4.5 yellow cards	—	—

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win NPA Anchors vs Downtown?

Our model: NPA Anchors 11%, draw 17%, Downtown 72%.