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OFK Bor 1919 vs Metalac GM: prediction and statistics

Serbia · Prva Liga · 28 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

52%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: OFK Bor 1919 2.6, Metalac GM 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 52%, typical match 47%.

Form

OFK Bor 1919: last five matches — L-D-W-L.

Metalac GM: last five matches — W-L-L-D-W.

Table: OFK Bor 1919 — 12, Metalac GM — 7 (of 16).

Team statistics for three seasons

OFK Bor 1919 at home and Metalac GM away, 2024/25–2026/27.

OFK Bor 1919Metalac GM
Matches45
Win rate25%40%
Goals scored per match1.00.8
Goals conceded per match1.30.8
Over 2.5 goals50%40%
Both teams score50%40%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match6.07.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards75%100%

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in OFK Bor 1919 vs Metalac GM?

Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.

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