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Oita Trinita vs Fujieda MYFC: prediction and statistics

Japan · J2 League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

83%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards: Oita Trinita 1.3, Fujieda MYFC 1.6; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 17% (typical match — 11%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 83%, typical match 89%.

Result

Market line without margin: Oita Trinita win 34%, draw 30%, Fujieda MYFC win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.

Form

Oita Trinita: last five matches — L-L-L-W-D.

Fujieda MYFC: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.

Table: Oita Trinita — 16, Fujieda MYFC — 7 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Oita Trinita at home and Fujieda MYFC away, 2024–2026.

Oita TrinitaFujieda MYFC
Matches4141
Win rate24%27%
Goals scored per match0.80.9
Goals conceded per match1.01.6
Over 2.5 goals34%51%
Both teams score37%44%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match3.12.3
Over 4.5 yellow cards22%7%

Head to head

6 meetings in our database: Oita Trinita won 4, 2 draws, Fujieda MYFC won 0. Per match: 1.7 goals, 3.2 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in Oita Trinita vs Fujieda MYFC?

Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 17%.

Who is more likely to win Oita Trinita vs Fujieda MYFC?

Market line without margin: Oita Trinita 34%, draw 30%, Fujieda MYFC 36%.

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