Oita Trinita vs Fujieda MYFC: prediction and statistics
Japan · J2 League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards: Oita Trinita 1.3, Fujieda MYFC 1.6; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 17% (typical match — 11%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 83%, typical match 89%.
Result
Market line without margin: Oita Trinita win 34%, draw 30%, Fujieda MYFC win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Oita Trinita: last five matches — L-L-L-W-D.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Fujieda MYFC: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Oita Trinita — 16, Fujieda MYFC — 7 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Oita Trinita at home and Fujieda MYFC away, 2024–2026.
| Oita Trinita | Fujieda MYFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 41 |
| Win rate | 24% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 37% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 22% | 7% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Oita Trinita won 4, 2 draws, Fujieda MYFC won 0. Per match: 1.7 goals, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 13.09.2025: Fujieda MYFC 1:1 Oita Trinita
- 23.03.2025: Oita Trinita 1:1 Fujieda MYFC
- 28.09.2024: Oita Trinita 2:0 Fujieda MYFC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Oita Trinita vs Fujieda MYFC?
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 17%.
Who is more likely to win Oita Trinita vs Fujieda MYFC?
Market line without margin: Oita Trinita 34%, draw 30%, Fujieda MYFC 36%.