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Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu: prediction and statistics
Japan · J2 League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.1 yellow cards: Omiya Ardija 1.3, Ventforet Kofu 1.8; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 21% (typical match — 11%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 79%, typical match 89%.
Result
Market line without margin: Omiya Ardija win 58%, draw 24%, Ventforet Kofu win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Omiya Ardija: last five matches — L-W-W-D-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Ventforet Kofu: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Omiya Ardija — 5, Ventforet Kofu — 17 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Omiya Ardija at home and Ventforet Kofu away, 2024–2026.
| Omiya Ardija | Ventforet Kofu | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 41 |
| Win rate | 45% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 18% | 5% |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: Omiya Ardija won 5, 5 draws, Ventforet Kofu won 15. Per match: 2.1 goals, 7.0 corners, 1.4 yellow cards.
- 12.07.2025: Ventforet Kofu 1:0 Omiya Ardija
- 22.02.2025: Omiya Ardija 1:0 Ventforet Kofu
- 29.10.2023: Omiya Ardija 0:2 Ventforet Kofu
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our model expects 3.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 21%.
Who is more likely to win Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Market line without margin: Omiya Ardija 58%, draw 24%, Ventforet Kofu 18%.