Xpect
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Copa Colombia · 11 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Once Caldas · Atletico Nacional
🔒 Forecast for this match is in the Xpect app
Corners, cards, result, goals, team stats and referee — all lines are open in the app.
Form
Once Caldas: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Atletico Nacional: last five matches — L-W-L-D-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.