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Operario-PR vs Ceara: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Operario-PR 5.6, Ceara 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 55%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards: Operario-PR 2.2, Ceara 2.9; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 59% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.
Result
Market line without margin: Operario-PR win 45%, draw 29%, Ceara win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Operario-PR: last five matches — W-L-L-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Ceara: last five matches — W-L-L-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Operario-PR — 5, Ceara — 15 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Operario-PR at home and Ceara away, 2024–2026.
| Operario-PR | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 33 |
| Win rate | 50% | 21% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 63% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 64% | 56% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Operario-PR won 1, 1 draws, Ceara won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals, 10.7 corners, 10.3 yellow cards.
- 31.05.2026: Ceara 1:2 Operario-PR
- 08.09.2024: Ceara 2:1 Operario-PR
- 19.05.2024: Operario-PR 0:0 Ceara
Referee
Andre Luiz Skettino Policarpo Bento: 53 matches in our database, 5.4 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.0); over 4.5 cards in 64% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Operario-PR vs Ceara?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Operario-PR vs Ceara?
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 59%.
Who is more likely to win Operario-PR vs Ceara?
Market line without margin: Operario-PR 45%, draw 29%, Ceara 26%.