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OshMU Aldier vs Kara-Balta: prediction and statistics
Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: OshMU Aldier · Kara-Balta
Key facts
- OshMU Aldier has won 7 of the last 9 meetings with Kara-Balta.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 63% of OshMU Aldier home games and 44% of Kara-Balta away games.
- Our model makes OshMU Aldier the favourite at 65%; a draw is 19%.
Result
Final score 1:4.
Result
Our model: OshMU Aldier win 65%, draw 19%, Kara-Balta win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
OshMU Aldier: last five matches — D-W-L-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 6 losses in a row · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Kara-Balta: last five matches — D-L-D-D-L.
- 11 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: OshMU Aldier — 13, Kara-Balta — 16 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
OshMU Aldier at home and Kara-Balta away, 2024–2026.
| OshMU Aldier | Kara-Balta | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 41 |
| Win rate | 37% | 15% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 3% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: OshMU Aldier won 7, 2 draws, Kara-Balta won 0. Per match: 2.5 goals, 0.1 yellow cards.
- 02.03.2026: Kara-Balta 0:0 OshMU Aldier
- 15.08.2025: Kara-Balta 2:4 OshMU Aldier
- 15.05.2025: OshMU Aldier 2:0 Kara-Balta
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win OshMU Aldier vs Kara-Balta?
Our model: OshMU Aldier 65%, draw 19%, Kara-Balta 16%.