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Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Oviedo 5.4, Sporting Gijon 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Oviedo 2.3, Sporting Gijon 2.0; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Oviedo win 45%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 44%.
Form
Oviedo: last five matches — D-L-D-L-D.
- 7 matches without a win · at home
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Sporting Gijon: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 4 wins in a row · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Oviedo — 13, Sporting Gijon — 9 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Oviedo at home and Sporting Gijon away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Oviedo | Sporting Gijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 44 |
| Win rate | 58% | 30% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 35% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 46% | 57% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Oviedo won 7, 6 draws, Sporting Gijon won 3. Per match: 1.6 goals, 7.8 corners, 6.4 yellow cards.
- 11.01.2025: Oviedo 1:1 Sporting Gijon
- 07.09.2024: Sporting Gijon 3:1 Oviedo
- 10.02.2024: Sporting Gijon 1:0 Oviedo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Market line without margin: Oviedo 45%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 25%.