Paynesville vs Watanga: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 8 November 2026 · kick-off 16:00 UTC

Team stats: Paynesville · Watanga

Key facts

• Watanga is the more likely winner in our model: 61%, draw 22%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 60% of Paynesville’s home matches and 31% of Watanga’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Our model: Paynesville win 17%, draw 22%, Watanga win 61%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 48%.

Form

Paynesville: last five matches — W-D-W-L-L.

• 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 3 matches without a win · all competitions

Watanga: last five matches — W-W-W-D-D.

• 11 matches unbeaten · all competitions

Table: Paynesville — 6, Watanga — 1 (of 15).

Team statistics for three seasons

Paynesville at home and Watanga away, 2023–2025.

Head to head

6 meetings in our database: Paynesville won 1, 2 draws, Watanga won 3. Per match: 2.2 goals.

• 01.03.2026: Watanga 0:0 Paynesville
• 30.10.2025: Paynesville 0:1 Watanga
• 29.03.2025: Paynesville 0:1 Watanga

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers