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PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: PEC Zwolle 5.1, SC Cambuur 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 55%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: PEC Zwolle 1.7, SC Cambuur 1.7; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 74%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: PEC Zwolle win 50%, draw 25%, SC Cambuur win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
PEC Zwolle: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · at home
- 4 matches without a win · at home
SC Cambuur: last five matches — L-L-L-D-D.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: PEC Zwolle — 16, SC Cambuur — 14 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
PEC Zwolle at home and SC Cambuur away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| PEC Zwolle | SC Cambuur | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 3 |
| Win rate | 41% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 27% | 67% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: PEC Zwolle won 5, 1 draws, SC Cambuur won 5. Per match: 3.6 goals, 10.0 corners, 2.3 yellow cards.
- 22.07.2022: PEC Zwolle 3:1 SC Cambuur
- 12.02.2022: SC Cambuur 3:4 PEC Zwolle
- 06.11.2021: PEC Zwolle 1:2 SC Cambuur
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.
Who is more likely to win PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?
Market line without margin: PEC Zwolle 50%, draw 25%, SC Cambuur 25%.