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Penybont vs Airbus UK: prediction and statistics
Wales · Premier League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Penybont 2.1, Airbus UK 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 37%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 63%.
Result
Market line without margin: Penybont win 47%, draw 26%, Airbus UK win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Penybont: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 10 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
Airbus UK: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Penybont — 2, Airbus UK — 8 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Penybont at home and Airbus UK away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Penybont | Airbus UK | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 5 |
| Win rate | 50% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 20% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 40% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Penybont won 5, 0 draws, Airbus UK won 1. Per match: 3.2 goals.
- 03.01.2023: Penybont 2:0 Airbus UK
- 15.10.2022: Airbus UK 0:3 Penybont
- 09.11.2019: Airbus UK 1:2 Penybont
Referee
J. Walker: 17 matches in our database, 3.2 yellow cards per match (competition average 3.6); over 4.5 cards in 29% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Penybont vs Airbus UK?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.
Who is more likely to win Penybont vs Airbus UK?
Market line without margin: Penybont 47%, draw 26%, Airbus UK 27%.