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Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Philadelphia Union 6.2, Real Salt Lake 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Philadelphia Union 2.0, Real Salt Lake 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 66%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Philadelphia Union win 64%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Philadelphia Union: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Real Salt Lake: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 13 matches without a win · away
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Philadelphia Union — 12, Real Salt Lake — 22 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Philadelphia Union at home and Real Salt Lake away, 2024–2026.
| Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 49 |
| Win rate | 45% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 69% |
| Total corners per match | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 53% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Philadelphia Union won 1, 4 draws, Real Salt Lake won 4. Per match: 3.3 goals, 12.0 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 27.04.2024: Philadelphia Union 1:2 Real Salt Lake
- 14.07.2019: Real Salt Lake 4:0 Philadelphia Union
- 19.05.2018: Philadelphia Union 4:1 Real Salt Lake
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.
Who is more likely to win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Market line without margin: Philadelphia Union 64%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 16%.