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Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh: prediction and statistics
Vietnam · V.League 1 · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Phu Dong · Bắc Ninh
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 56% of Phu Dong home games and 50% of Bắc Ninh away games.
- Our model makes Phu Dong the favourite at 62%; a draw is 21%.
Result
Final score 2:1.
Result
Our model: Phu Dong win 62%, draw 21%, Bắc Ninh win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Phu Dong: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
Bắc Ninh: last five matches — W-D-L-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Phu Dong — 5, Bắc Ninh — 10 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Phu Dong at home and Bắc Ninh away, 2025–2027.
| Phu Dong | Bắc Ninh | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 6 |
| Win rate | 50% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 25% | 33% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh?
Our model: Phu Dong 62%, draw 21%, Bắc Ninh 17%.