Xpect
Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce: prediction and statistics
Poland · Ekstraklasa · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Piast Gliwice · Korona Kielce
Before kick-off
Ekstraklasa, 20 November 2026: Piast Gliwice are at home to Korona Kielce. Piast Gliwice go into the match 7th of 18 in the table, Korona Kielce are 11th.
An uneven run for Piast Gliwice: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Korona Kielce are still looking for a win: 5 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 7 for Piast Gliwice against 0 for Korona Kielce.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Piast Gliwice have 15 wins, 13 draws and 13 defeats in 41 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The away record of Korona Kielce: 10 wins, 14 draws and 17 defeats in 41 matches, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
This fixture often ends level: 6 of the 13 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Korona Kielce 1:1 Piast Gliwice. On average these meetings produce 1.9 goals.
Form
Piast Gliwice: last five matches — L-L-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Korona Kielce: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
Table: Piast Gliwice — 7, Korona Kielce — 11 (of 18).
Home and away record
Piast Gliwice at home and Korona Kielce away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Piast Gliwice | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 15-13-13 | 10-14-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Piast Gliwice won 6, 6 draws, Korona Kielce won 1. Per match: 1.9 goals.
- 01.05.2026: Korona Kielce 1:1 Piast Gliwice
- 31.10.2025: Piast Gliwice 0:0 Korona Kielce
- 19.04.2025: Piast Gliwice 1:1 Korona Kielce
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Piast Gliwice is the more likely winner in our model: 56%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Piast Gliwice’s home matches and 34% of Korona Kielce’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 6 of 13 meetings.
- Our model expects more corners from Korona Kielce: 5.9 against 4.6 for Piast Gliwice.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Piast Gliwice 4.6, Korona Kielce 5.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Piast Gliwice 1.8, Korona Kielce 1.6; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 56%, typical match 38%.
Result
Our model: Piast Gliwice win 56%, draw 24%, Korona Kielce win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 49%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Piast Gliwice | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 37% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39% | 54% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 34% | 29% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.