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Platense vs Argentinos JRS: prediction and statistics

Argentina · Liga Profesional · 11 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

62%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 8.7 corners in the match: Platense 4.7, Argentinos JRS 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 38% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

57%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Platense 2.4, Argentinos JRS 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 57% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 57%, typical match 57%.

Result

Market line without margin: Platense win 27%, draw 31%, Argentinos JRS win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.

Form

Platense: last five matches — D-D-W-L-W.

Argentinos JRS: last five matches — W-L-D-D-L.

Table: Platense — 26, Argentinos JRS — 2 (of 30).

Team statistics for three seasons

Platense at home and Argentinos JRS away, 2024–2026.

PlatenseArgentinos JRS
Matches4244
Win rate29%23%
Goals scored per match0.70.8
Goals conceded per match0.91.2
Over 2.5 goals26%34%
Both teams score38%39%
Total corners per match8.29.2
Over 9.5 corners32%41%
Total yellow cards per match5.15.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards60%66%

Head to head

11 meetings in our database: Platense won 3, 4 draws, Argentinos JRS won 4. Per match: 1.4 goals, 8.0 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Platense vs Argentinos JRS?

Our model expects 8.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 38%.

How many yellow cards in Platense vs Argentinos JRS?

Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 57%.

Who is more likely to win Platense vs Argentinos JRS?

Market line without margin: Platense 27%, draw 31%, Argentinos JRS 42%.

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