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Police XI vs Township Rollers: prediction and statistics
Botswana · Premier League · 5 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Police XI · Township Rollers
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: Police XI 32%, draw 32%, Township Rollers 36%.
- Township Rollers has won 10 of the last 16 meetings with Police XI.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 5% of Police XI home games and 36% of Township Rollers away games.
Result
Final score 1:4.
Result
Our model: Police XI win 32%, draw 32%, Township Rollers win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 37%.
Form
Police XI: last five matches — W-W-D-D-W.
- 16 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 13 matches unbeaten · at home
- 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Township Rollers: last five matches — W-L-D-L-L.
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: Police XI — 7, Township Rollers — 10 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Police XI at home and Township Rollers away, 2024–2026.
| Police XI | Township Rollers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 19 | 33 |
| Win rate | 26% | 30% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 5% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 5% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Police XI won 1, 5 draws, Township Rollers won 10. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 25.04.2026: Township Rollers 2:0 Police XI
- 23.11.2025: Police XI 0:0 Township Rollers
- 15.03.2024: Township Rollers 3:1 Police XI
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Police XI vs Township Rollers?
Our model: Police XI 32%, draw 32%, Township Rollers 36%.