Xpect
Port City vs Basake Holy Stars: prediction and statistics
Ghana · Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Port City · Basake Holy Stars
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 67% of Port City home games and 41% of Basake Holy Stars away games.
- Our model makes Port City the favourite at 58%; a draw is 25%.
Result
Final score 1:0.
Result
Our model: Port City win 58%, draw 25%, Basake Holy Stars win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Port City: last five matches — L-D-W-W-D.
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Basake Holy Stars: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 37 matches without a win · away
- 7 losses in a row · away
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Port City — 5, Basake Holy Stars — 10 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Port City at home and Basake Holy Stars away, 2024–2026.
| Port City | Basake Holy Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 37 |
| Win rate | 33% | 3% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 83% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 17% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Port City vs Basake Holy Stars?
Our model: Port City 58%, draw 25%, Basake Holy Stars 17%.