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Portmore United vs Treasure Beach: prediction and statistics
Jamaica · Premier League · 5 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Portmore United · Treasure Beach
Key facts
- Our model makes Portmore United the favourite at 70%; a draw is 19%.
- 2 of the 5 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 29% of Portmore United home games and 46% of Treasure Beach away games.
Result
Final score 2:0.
Result
Our model: Portmore United win 70%, draw 19%, Treasure Beach win 11%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Portmore United: last five matches — L-W-D-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Treasure Beach: last five matches — W-L-L-L-W.
Table: Portmore United — 10, Treasure Beach — 13 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Portmore United at home and Treasure Beach away, 2024–2026.
| Portmore United | Treasure Beach | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 22 |
| Win rate | 47% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.1 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 23% | 0% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Portmore United won 2, 2 draws, Treasure Beach won 1. Per match: 3.2 goals.
- 18.03.2026: Treasure Beach 2:2 Portmore United
- 08.03.2026: Portmore United 1:1 Treasure Beach
- 21.12.2025: Treasure Beach 2:0 Portmore United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Portmore United vs Treasure Beach?
Our model: Portmore United 70%, draw 19%, Treasure Beach 11%.