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Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Primera Nacional · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Quilmes 1.7, Club Atlético Güemes 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 46%.
Result
Market line without margin: Quilmes win 65%, draw 25%, Club Atlético Güemes win 11%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Quilmes: last five matches — W-D-W-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Club Atlético Güemes: last five matches — L-D-D-D-L.
- 14 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Quilmes — 24, Club Atlético Güemes — 36 (of 36).
Team statistics for three seasons
Quilmes at home and Club Atlético Güemes away, 2024–2026.
| Quilmes | Club Atlético Güemes | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 51 |
| Win rate | 49% | 4% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 24% |
| Both teams score | 32% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 47% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Quilmes won 1, 2 draws, Club Atlético Güemes won 3. Per match: 1.2 goals, 4.7 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Club Atlético Güemes 2:1 Quilmes
- 23.09.2025: Quilmes 0:0 Club Atlético Güemes
- 18.05.2025: Club Atlético Güemes 0:0 Quilmes
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.
Who is more likely to win Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Market line without margin: Quilmes 65%, draw 25%, Club Atlético Güemes 11%.