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Quindio vs Bogota FC: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera B · 28 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Quindio 2.0, Bogota FC 2.9; typical match of the competition — 5.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 76%.
Form
Quindio: last five matches — L-D-W-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Bogota FC: last five matches — D-L-W-L-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Quindio — 4, Bogota FC — 7 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Quindio at home and Bogota FC away, 2024–2026.
| Quindio | Bogota FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 47 |
| Win rate | 43% | 15% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 49% |
Head to head
21 meetings in our database: Quindio won 9, 7 draws, Bogota FC won 5. Per match: 2.8 goals, 2.7 yellow cards.
- 20.03.2026: Bogota FC 0:2 Quindio
- 26.09.2025: Quindio 6:1 Bogota FC
- 19.04.2025: Bogota FC 1:1 Quindio
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Quindio vs Bogota FC?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.