Xpect
Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Pro League · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Racing Genk 5.3, KV Kortrijk 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Racing Genk 1.8, KV Kortrijk 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: Racing Genk win 64%, draw 20%, KV Kortrijk win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Racing Genk: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 13 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
KV Kortrijk: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · away
Table: Racing Genk — 9, KV Kortrijk — 18 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Racing Genk at home and KV Kortrijk away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Racing Genk | KV Kortrijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 21 |
| Win rate | 56% | 19% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 51% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 52% |
Head to head
32 meetings in our database: Racing Genk won 17, 7 draws, KV Kortrijk won 8. Per match: 2.9 goals, 9.8 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 07.12.2024: Racing Genk 3:2 KV Kortrijk
- 05.10.2024: KV Kortrijk 2:1 Racing Genk
- 17.12.2023: Racing Genk 4:0 KV Kortrijk
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk?
Market line without margin: Racing Genk 64%, draw 20%, KV Kortrijk 15%.