Xpect
Racing Santander vs Valencia: prediction and statistics
Spain · La Liga · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Racing Santander 5.5, Valencia 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 52%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Racing Santander 2.3, Valencia 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 73%, typical match 73%.
Result
Market line without margin: Racing Santander win 43%, draw 27%, Valencia win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Racing Santander: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Valencia: last five matches — W-D-L-L-W.
Table: Racing Santander — 16, Valencia — 19 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Racing Santander at home and Valencia away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Racing Santander | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 41 |
| Win rate | 67% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 13.7 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 100% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 29% |
Head to head
36 meetings in our database: Racing Santander won 13, 8 draws, Valencia won 15. Per match: 2.6 goals, 9.9 corners, 5.4 yellow cards.
- 29.01.2012: Racing Santander 2:2 Valencia
- 27.08.2011: Valencia 4:3 Racing Santander
- 31.01.2011: Racing Santander 1:1 Valencia
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 55%.
Who is more likely to win Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Market line without margin: Racing Santander 43%, draw 27%, Valencia 30%.