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Rangers vs Kilmarnock: prediction and statistics
Scotland · Premiership · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Rangers 6.3, Kilmarnock 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 60%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 53%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Rangers 1.8, Kilmarnock 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 50%.
Result
Market line without margin: Rangers win 81%, draw 13%, Kilmarnock win 6%. Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Rangers: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Kilmarnock: last five matches — W-D-L-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Rangers — 2, Kilmarnock — 12 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Rangers at home and Kilmarnock away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Rangers | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 38 |
| Win rate | 64% | 16% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 69% | 74% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 5% | 32% |
Head to head
64 meetings in our database: Rangers won 45, 9 draws, Kilmarnock won 10. Per match: 3.0 goals, 11.9 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 04.02.2026: Rangers 5:1 Kilmarnock
- 06.12.2025: Kilmarnock 0:3 Rangers
- 26.10.2025: Rangers 3:1 Kilmarnock
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 60%.
How many yellow cards in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 38%.
Who is more likely to win Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Market line without margin: Rangers 81%, draw 13%, Kilmarnock 6%.