Rasi Salai United vs Bangkok United: prediction and statistics

Thailand · Thai League 1 · 8 November 2026 · kick-off 11:00 UTC

Team stats: Rasi Salai United · Bangkok United

Key facts

• Bangkok United is the more likely winner in our model: 68%, draw 20%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 83% of Rasi Salai United’s home matches and 36% of Bangkok United’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Our model: Rasi Salai United win 13%, draw 20%, Bangkok United win 68%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 45%.

Form

Rasi Salai United: last five matches — W-L-D-L-L.

• 9 matches without a win · all competitions
• 9 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
• 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions

Bangkok United: last five matches — D-D-L-W-D.

• 10 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
• 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
• 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions

Table: Rasi Salai United — 16, Bangkok United — 6 (of 16).

Team statistics for three seasons

Rasi Salai United at home and Bangkok United away, 2024–2026.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers