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RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: prediction and statistics

Brazil · Serie A · 13 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

56%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: RB Bragantino 5.9, Cruzeiro 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 59%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 54%.

Yellow cards

51%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: RB Bragantino 2.3, Cruzeiro 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 55%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 70%, typical match 72%.

Result

Market line without margin: RB Bragantino win 44%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.

Form

RB Bragantino: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.

Cruzeiro: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.

Table: RB Bragantino — 10, Cruzeiro — 6 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

RB Bragantino at home and Cruzeiro away, 2024–2026.

RB BragantinoCruzeiro
Matches5152
Win rate45%31%
Goals scored per match1.41.0
Goals conceded per match1.11.3
Over 2.5 goals53%42%
Both teams score55%42%
Total corners per match10.610.1
Over 9.5 corners65%64%
Total yellow cards per match5.24.9
Over 4.5 yellow cards63%52%

Head to head

10 meetings in our database: RB Bragantino won 1, 3 draws, Cruzeiro won 6. Per match: 2.7 goals, 12.1 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.

How many yellow cards in RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.

Who is more likely to win RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Market line without margin: RB Bragantino 44%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro 29%.

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