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RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and statistics
Europe · Champions League · 13 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: RB Leipzig 5.2, PSV Eindhoven 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 53%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: RB Leipzig 1.6, PSV Eindhoven 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 54%, typical match 38%.
Result
Market line without margin: RB Leipzig win 48%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 69%.
Form
RB Leipzig: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · at home
- 9 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
PSV Eindhoven: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Team statistics for three seasons
RB Leipzig at home and PSV Eindhoven away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| RB Leipzig | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 10 |
| Win rate | 25% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 75% | 80% |
| Total corners per match | 10.8 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 75% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 30% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.
Who is more likely to win RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Market line without margin: RB Leipzig 48%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 29%.