Xpect
Real Betis vs Osasuna: prediction and statistics
Spain · La Liga · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Real Betis 5.2, Osasuna 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Real Betis 2.2, Osasuna 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 73%.
Result
Market line without margin: Real Betis win 57%, draw 25%, Osasuna win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Real Betis: last five matches — W-D-W-W-W.
- 10 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · at home
Osasuna: last five matches — W-L-W-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Real Betis — 3, Osasuna — 13 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Real Betis at home and Osasuna away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Real Betis | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 41 |
| Win rate | 54% | 12% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 44% |
Head to head
39 meetings in our database: Real Betis won 21, 7 draws, Osasuna won 11. Per match: 2.7 goals, 9.9 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2026: Osasuna 1:1 Real Betis
- 28.09.2025: Real Betis 2:0 Osasuna
- 11.05.2025: Real Betis 1:1 Osasuna
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.
Who is more likely to win Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Market line without margin: Real Betis 57%, draw 25%, Osasuna 19%.