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River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: prediction and statistics

Argentina · Liga Profesional · 11 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

60%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 8.9 corners in the match: River Plate 5.4, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 40% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 60%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

54%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: River Plate 2.1, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 74%.

Result

Market line without margin: River Plate win 78%, draw 16%, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win 6%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 31%.

Form

River Plate: last five matches — W-D-D-W-L.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.

Table: River Plate — 6, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — 30 (of 30).

Team statistics for three seasons

River Plate at home and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto away, 2024–2026.

River PlateEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Matches5013
Win rate54%0%
Goals scored per match1.70.4
Goals conceded per match0.91.9
Over 2.5 goals46%46%
Both teams score46%39%
Total corners per match8.88.8
Over 9.5 corners30%42%
Total yellow cards per match5.44.7
Over 4.5 yellow cards62%54%

Head to head

1 meetings in our database: River Plate won 1, 0 draws, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals, 12.0 corners, 4.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

Our model expects 8.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 40%.

How many yellow cards in River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.

Who is more likely to win River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

Market line without margin: River Plate 78%, draw 16%, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 6%.

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